Independent Study Tasks
Student A: Housing Market
Using a supply and demand diagram analyse why house prices change?
What do you think is likely to happen to house prices?
What has happened recently to house prices, house sales, repossessions, negative equity, new mortgages being issued?
Research - The Savills share price
Shares of one of Britain’s biggest estate agency groups can be seen as a proxy for the level of confidence about the volume of housing transactions in the future.
Which direction is good? Up
What happened yesterday? Up 0.75p to 240.75p (sic)
Why has this happened?
What do these changes mean for inflation and interest rate or QE decisions?
Independent Study Tasks
Student B: Oil Prices
Using a supply and demand diagram analyse why oil prices change?
What do you think is likely to happen to oil prices?
What has happened recently to oil prices, petrol prices, energy bills, cost of plastic, factory gate prices (cost of production)?
Research Brent crude future
This is the price per barrel of crude oil for delivery in the future, and gives an indication of the future cost of many kinds of energy, from petrol to diesel to heating oil and of plastic, a key component in many products.
Which direction is good? Some argue that too steep a fall would indicate a massive global depression, but on balance, down is good.
What happened yesterday? It went up by 30 cents to $84.66 a barrel (sic)
Why has this happened? What might happen?
What do these changes mean for inflation and interest rate or QE decisions?
Independent Study Tasks
Student C: The Labour Market - Unemployment and wages
Using a supply and demand diagram analyse why wages, employment and unemployment levels have changed?
What do you think is likely to happen to unemployment, employment, wages, productivity?
What has happened recently?
www.nomisweb.co.uk – free access to UK labour data
The Hays share price
Official unemployment figures are out of date and backward-looking. They say nothing about the future. Hays is a huge recruitment consultancy, seeking temps and permanent employees for employers in all kinds of industries across Britain and other parts of the world. Its share price can be seen as a very rough proxy for the outlook for job vacancies.
Which direction is good? Up
What happened yesterday? Down 2½p to 71½p (sic)
Why has this happened? What might happen?
What do these changes mean for inflation and interest rate or QE decisions?
Independent Study Tasks
Student D: Exchange Rate - Pound against the Euro, import and export prices
Using a supply and demand diagram analyse why the value of the pound may change against the Euro?
What do you think is likely to happen to the value of the pound against the Euro over the next few months?
What has happened recently?
The sterling index
This is the measure of the pound’s buying power in a sprinkling of our biggest trading partners. Exporters love a weakening currency because it makes it easier to win sales, but it makes us poorer and makes pounds go less far abroad, and it sucks in inflation.
Which direction is good? Up
What happened yesterday? It fell 1.42% to 90% (sic)
What has happened to the price of imports and exports recently?
Why has this happened? What might happen?
What do these changes mean for inflation and interest rate or QE decisions?
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